What is projected under a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario?

Textile Exchange considers reduction interventions against a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario. This estimates the industry’s emissions with no interventions in place, assuming a conservative growth rate of 3% in global fiber and raw material production per year across all fiber and material categories. The estimated GHG impacts under the BAU scenario range between 460-470 MT CO2e.

Textile Exchange is aware that this 3% growth rate assumption needs to be explored further, as growth rates will vary across fiber and material categories and other variables.